Most exit polls predict a BJP win in Delhi, but some foresee a tough fight between the BJP and the Aam Aadmi Party.
In Delhi assembly polls, the Congress and Aam Aadmi Party, who had fought as a single unit in Lok Sabha elections as the INDIA alliance, contested separately. Exit polls even say that the two parties together cannot come anywhere near the majority at the moment. At the same time, most exit polls predict that the BJP is likely to form the government in Delhi. Delhi has 70 assembly seats that need a majority of 36 seats.
Chanakya Strategy
The exit poll data suggest that the BJP might win between one and thirty-three to forty-four of these seats. AAP may, however, win 25-28 of these. The Congress is again expected to get only 2-3 seats. Including all these, the highest expectation of Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party together is not beyond thirty-one.
JVC
Between 22 and 31 seats are predicted for the AAP, while between 0 and 2 for Congress. The total seats thus remain 33 for both parties. But the exit poll predictions allot 39-45 for the BJP.
P Marks
The P Marks exit poll puts AAP between 21 and 31 seats in Delhi and the BJP seats from 39 to 49. It does appear these two can make a majority, while Congress’ projection is between 0 and 1. In that case, also, there will be 32 if Congress ties with AAP.
People’s perspectives
Under these projections, Congress stands a realistic chance of getting a 0-1 seat. In contrast, it is expected that the BJP would secure 40-44 seats and form a majority government. People’s Insight has AAP being placed between 25 and 29 seats in the exit poll. Thus the two parties total 30 seats.
Matrix
Perhaps this exit poll gives some residual hope to the AAP but the BJP remains a huge force in the field. In this case, the AAP is propounded to be 32-37 while Hindutva remains strong with 35-40. A simplified version could put Congress at 0-1.
DV Research
The BJP is more likely to win 36 to 44 seats, one more than the average, according to exit poll data from DV Research. But Congress doesn’t seem to have opened its account yet. At the same time, the AAP is probably going to pick up between 26 and 34 seats. In this instance, it is anticipated that the AAP will lose two seats to the opposition.